基于湖南农村时间序列数据的增量消费模型构建

Incremental consumption model construction based on time series data in rural Hunan province

在对西方经济学的消费函数数理分析基础上,从中国农村家庭消费的现实出发,构建了消费与储蓄双变量的家庭效用函数,并利用线性规划推导出描述家庭消费行为的增量消费模型。最后利用湖南省农村的数据对模型进行估计与检验,最终含有被解释变量滞后项的增量消费模型通过检验,印证了数理推导的正确。

Based on the mathematical analysis of the consumption function in western economics.From the realities of rural China＇s household consumption,this paper pointed out a dual variables family utility function in terms of consumption and savings, and derived incremental consumption model which described family behavior by using of Linear programming. Finally, the model was estimated and tested in terms of time series data in rural Hunan province, the incremental consumption model with the explained variable lags showed the correct mathematical derivation.