基于全要素生产率的中韩经济增长因素分析

An Analysis of Economic Growth in China and Korea based on the Total Factor Productivity

20世纪60年代以后,东亚经济的高速发展,特别是80年代中韩经济的快速发展引起了国内外学术界的关注,本文利用增长会计法和Malmquist指数法对中国和韩国的经济增长因素进行了分析,结果发现,2002～2009年中国全要素增长率的贡献率从1981～2001年的23.29%上升到28.88%,全要素增长率的贡献超过了劳动投入的贡献率。1981～1998年期间韩国的经济增长率为7.64%,其中,60%以上是靠资本投入来实现的,25%是依靠劳动的投入,但在1999～2009年期间全要素生产率的贡献率达到了42%,中国与韩国的经济增长开始走向依靠技术进步和创新发展的道路。

Since 1980,China and Korea have achieved remarkable economic growth.During this periods,both countries have sustained rapid growth impressively.This paper investigates patterns of economic growth for China and Korea by constructing growth accounts that uncover the supply-side sources of output for each economy.The results show that the contribution of China′s total factor growth rate increased from 23.27% during 1981~2001 to 28.88% during 2002~2009,the contribution of China′s total factor growth rate surpassed that of labor input.During 1981~1998,the rate of economic growth of Korea was 7.64%,60% of which was realized by the capital input and 24% of which was realized by labor input,but during 1999~2009,the contribution of the total factor productivity reached 42% of its economic growth.The main policy implication of this paper is that according to the Malmquist results,Korea needs focus on more R&D investment and China should strengthen its internal innovation capability,then,they will be able to achieve sustainable growth.