摘要
通过基于均生函数的最优子集回归方法在江西雨季 (4～ 6月 )降水预测中的应用 ,发现预报步长为 1 a时 ,预报效果较为理想。其中 4月份的预报能力最强 ,5、
Through the application of optimal subset regression method based on meanvalue generation function in precipitation forecast in rainy season (from April to June) in Jiangxi, it is found that the forecast results are satisfactory when the prediction step equals one year The forecast capacity practiced in April is better than that in May and June
出处
《灾害学》
CSCD
2000年第2期11-16,共6页
Journal of Catastrophology
基金
中国气象局资助项目! ( 96- 90 8- 0 5- 0 4 - 11)
江西省科委资助项目! ( 9612 52 )
关键词
均生函数
最优子集回归
降水预测
江西
mean value generation function
optimal subset regression
precipitation forecast
Jiangxi
