动态公交客流预测方法研究

Prediction Method Research of Dynamic Mass Transit Passenger Flow

随着公交的大力发展，公交优化要从传统的调度方式向实时调度转变。这就要求公交客流预测要具备短时性和滚动性，即动态预测。现有的公交客流预测方法集中于长期客流数据的预测，缺乏时效，不适用于公交的实时调度。本文给出了一种对公交客流进行动态预测的简单方法。

With the vigorous development of public transport, bus scheduling changes from traditional optimization methods to real-time scheduling . This requires short-term and rolling bus passenger flow forecast, namely dynamic prediction. Most of the current bus passenger flow forecasting methods are long-term forecast , being lack of timeliness, can not be used in. This paper presents a simple bus passenger dynamic prediction method for real-time bus scheduling.