宏观政策分析模型E-CPI

E-CPI Model for Macro Policy Analysis

基于经济学中的GDP-CPI模型,研究了用电量与价格指数的E-CPI模型。此模型可以每月动态分析经济运行状况,研究需要采取什么样的财政政策及货币政策等实现宏观调控,为政府提供决策参考。采用E-CPI模型分析了2011年我国经济运行的走势及宏观政策的调控效果。根据政府提出的经济发展目标,研究了2012年财政政策及货币政策的走势,并提出相关建议以供参考。

Based on the GDP-CPI model in economy, this paper studies the E-CPI model of electricity consumption and CPI. This model can make a monthly dynamic analysis of the economic performance and study what fiscal and monetary policy should be used to realize the macro regulation for government decision-making. The E-CPI model is used to analyze China＇s economic performance and the regulation effects of macro policies in 2011. In the end the paper makes a study of the fiscal and monetary policy tendency in 2012 according to the economic development goal, and proposes some suggestions for reference.