中国产业结构与收入分配结构的互动关系——基于VAR模型的实证研究

Interactive Relationship between Chinese Industrial Structure and Income Distribution Structure——An Empirical Analysis Based on VAR

基于1990～2007年全国数据,利用VAR模型针对中国产业结构和收入分配结构相互影响关系的实证研究表明:收入分配结构的恶化对产业结构升级产生逐渐减弱的抑制作用;短期内产业结构的升级对居民收入水平的提高产生逐渐减弱的负面影响;收入分配结构变化的冲击对产业结构变化的波动贡献较小,而产业结构变动的冲击对收入分配结构波动的贡献逐渐增大并稳定。

Based on l data from 1990 to 2007,this article uses VAR model to analyze the interactive relationship between Chinese industrial structure and income distribution structure.The result shows：（1） Deterioration of income distribution structure has an increasingly weakening inhibitory effect on upgrading of industrial structure.（2） In the short term,upgrading of industrial structure has an increasingly weakening inhibitory effect on residents＇ income levels.（3） Variation of income distribution structure results in a small contribution to variation of industrial structure;while variation of industrial structure results in a great contribution to variation of income distribution structure.