贸易自由化影响农村贫困的路径与特征

Path and Features of Trade Liberalization Affecting Rural Poverty

城乡人口流动是当今社会最重要的经济现象,贸易自由化的影响最为显著,为此,我们运用门槛面板数据模型实证研究了贸易自由化影响我国农村贫困的路径和特征。结果发现,贸易自由化主要从经济增长、就业与工资以及物价水平路径影响农村贫困。并且,贸易自由化和农村贫困之间存在一种非线性的倒U关系,即在贸易自由化初期,贸易自由化加重了农村贫困,当贸易自由化水平越过某一门槛值时,贸易自由化有助于农村减贫。因此,继续扩大自由贸易的层次与规模,是未来农村反贫困的一个政策选项。

Population floating from rural areas to urban areas is an obvious economic phenomenon in current society.Trade liberalization is an important factor to affect it.By using threshold level panel data model,this paper makes a study of path and features trade liberalization affects rural poverty.The study shows that at the beginning period of trade liberalization,trade liberalization increases rural poverty,but when trade liberalization step over a certain threshold,it decreases rural poverty.So further promoting trade liberalization is a policy choice for China to get out of rural poverty