乌溪江水库长期径流预报方案探讨

Studies on long period runoff forecasting methods of Wuxijiang Reservoir

通过对两种预报方案原理的分析 ,建立、检验模型 ,并深入探讨了序列周期外推的合理性 .

Through analyzing the principles of two runoff forecasting methods, the models for forecasting runoff are built and tested, the reasonability of extending the period sequence is deeply discussed. The result indicates that the period analysis method is more suitable for Wuxijiang Reservoir′s long period runoff forecasting.