公共图书馆发展指标与经济增长关系的计量经济学分析

Econometrics Analysis on Development Index of Public Libraries and Economic Growth

公共图书馆发展指标与经济增长统计数据相关性分析的基础上,运用平稳性单位根检验及格兰杰因果关系检验等现代计量经济学方法,研究公共图书馆若干主要发展指标与经济增长之间的因果关系。研究结果表明,主要的图书馆发展指标与经济增长存在显著的格兰杰因果关系。据此,提出相应的政策建议。

This paper analyses correlation between development index of public libraries and economic growth and studies causal rela- tionship between the main indexes of public libraries and economic growth by use of Augmented Dickey Fuller （ADF） test and Granger test. The result shows that there is a significant Granger causality between the main library development indexes and economic growth, furthermore, some proposals are put forward.