基于傅里叶模型的服装出口分析及预测

The Analysis and Prediction on the Clothing Exports Based on Fourier Model

根据傅里叶模型的基本概念以及该模型的预测原理,通过对原模型进行细微改动,在原模型基础上加入一个趋势函数来建立一个新的模型,首先借助SPSS软件并用已知的数据对该模型的预测结果进行分析,结果表明该模型的预测效果良好,最后再对所有原数据进行综合分析,并代入模型预测我国未来几年的服装出口。

According to the basic concept and the prediction principle of Fourier model,this paper the establish a new model from the minor changes and increasing a trend function.First,using the SPSS software to analyze the forecast results of this model,and the results show that the prediction effect is good,and finally input the data to the model to analyze the original data comprehensively,and predict the future data of the next few years.