基于灰色关联分析的甘肃省居民消费与经济增长关系研究

Household Consumption and Economic Growth in Gansu Province

本文通过甘肃省2000—2010年GDP的增长率与居民消费对经济增长的贡献率、拉动率分析了城乡居民消费与经济增长的关系,利用灰色关联度方法探讨了具体的居民消费支出项目对经济增长的影响。结果表明:甘肃省城乡居民消费对于经济增长的拉动作用存在较大差异,并且消费支出类型也不完全相同。最后在此基础上,提出通过居民消费推动经济增长的对策。

The paper analyzes the relationship between the household consumption and economic growth through Gansu pronvince 2000- 2010 GDP growth rate and consumption on the economic contribution rate, consumer economy driven rate, using gray relational analysis method of consumer expenditure on economic growth. The results show： Pulling effect of consumption of urban residents and rural residents in Gansu province have big difference, consumption expenditure type also exist difference. Finally, on this basis, the paper proposes countermeasures to promote economic growth through the household consumption.