中国行政成本的演变特征及其驱动因素分析(2000-2009)

Characteristics and Evolution of Administrative Cost in China and Its Driving Factors:2000-2009

本文在分析2000～2009年中国行政成本演变特征的基础上,采用灰色关联分析法计算了行政成本与其19个驱动因素之间的关联度。实证结果表明,近年来,中国行政成本一直呈现增长的态势,外部驱动因素和内部驱动因素对于中国行政成本增长几乎同等重要。外部驱动因素中,国民经济增长和人民生活水平提高对中国行政成本增长的影响相对较强,人口增长和物价上涨的影响相对较弱。内部驱动因素中,财政收入增长对中国行政成本增长的影响相对较强,其次是政府职能扩张和人员费用增长,公用费用增长对中国行政成本增长的影响相对较弱。在此基础上,本文提出了行政成本合理化的相关建议。

Based on the analysis of the administrative cost change in China during 2000 - 2009, this paper uses grey relational analysis to study the correlation between the administrative cost of the government and its 19 driving factors. The key finding is that： in recent years,the administrative cost in China presents a growth tendency. As for the driving factors, the external driving factors are playing a role almost as important as that of the internal one. Among the external driving factors, the development of national economy and living standard have a more important effect on the ever - rising administrative cost of the govern- ment, comparing to the population growth and the price inflation. Among the internal driving factors, the influence of the government receipts growth is the greatest, followed by the government function expansion and personal expenditures growth, and the influence of the utility cost growth is relatively small. Finally, this paper advances some appropriate countermeas-