摘要
[目的]对舟曲泥石流造成的直接和间接经济损失进行评估。[方法]在 2010 年 8 月 7 日舟曲发特大泥石流发生的后第一时间收集了相关数据,建立评估模型,采用比例系数法估计潜在的经济损失。[结果]评估结果表明,此次灾害共造成经济损失 16.57 亿元人民币,其中间接经济损失高达2.42 亿,直接经济损失 14.15 亿。[结论]至目前为止,比例系数法仍是一种快速有效的评估间接经济损失的方法。
[Objective] The aim of this study was to evaluate the economic loss caused by Zhouqu debris flow. [Method] After the large debris flows happened on August 7, 2010 in Zhouqu, Gansu Province, we collected data at the first time after the disaster, and then built an assessment model to estimate the potential economic losses. [Result] The total loss reached 16.57×10^2 million Yuan, in which indirect economic loss was up to 2.42×10^2 million yaun while the actual direct economic loss was around 14.15×10^2 million Yuan. [Conclusion] The proportional coefficient method is a rapid and efficient method for evaluating the indirect loss caused by disasters.
基金
Supported by National Key Technology Research and Development Program(2008BAK50B06)~~
关键词
泥石流
间接经济损失
直接经济损失
比例系数法
Debris flow
Indirect losses
Direct losses
Proportional coefficient method
