GDP“放弃保八”——中国经济的相关问题思考

"Abandoning Eight Percent GDP",Reflections on China's Economy

首先通过对中国2012年GDP增长目标"放弃保八"的原因分析,可以得出:调低经济发展目标是客观必然与主动选择的结果,有利于我国经济发展方式、经济结构、分配结构调整,注重GDP发展质量,关注民生。其次,阐述了"放弃保八"的机遇与挑战,主要从经济结构调整、新能源开发、科技创新、土地资源管理、节能减排、房地产发展、地方政府绩效指标等七个方面展开论述。再就GDP"放弃保八"后中国经济战略如何调整加以讨论,得到以下结论:调整经济结构,成功跨越人均GDP4000美元风水岭;增强"GDP含金量";大力发展"绿色GDP";大力推进低碳经济。只有这样,才能跨越"中等收入陷阱",由人口大国走向真正的经济强国。

This paper gives a general analysis of China＇s ＂Abandoning Eight Percent GDP＂ growth target in 2012.It points out that a lowered economic development goal results from an inevitable and active choice.It is helpful for China＇s adjustments in terms of economic development mode,economic structure and distribution structure,and for shifts of emphasis to GDP development quality and the people＇s livelihood.Secondly,it elaborates the opportunities and challenges concerning the ＂Abandoning Eight Percent GDP＂ in seven aspects： economic structure adjustment,new energy development,science and technology innovation,land resources management,conservation and emission reduction,real estate development,as well as local government performance indexes.Thirdly,it discusses how to adjust China＇s economic strategies after ＂Abandoning Eight Percent GDP＂ growth target.It is concluded that the future orientation should be targeted at adjusting economic structure in order to successfully surpass the GDP division line of $4000 per capita;enhancing ＂GDP contents＂;greatly expanding ＂green GDP＂;and vigorously promoting low carbon economy.Only in this way can we surpass the ＂medium income trap＂,and transform China from a heavily populated nation into a real economic power.