财政教育支出、财政总支出与基尼系数的脉冲响应分析——以湖北省义务教育为例

Impulse Response Analysis of Health Expenditure,Fiscal Expenditure and Gini Coefficient——Taking Compulsory Education of Hubei Province as an Example

1978年以来,湖北省义务教育支出、财政总支出绝对规模不断上升,同时湖北省居民收入分配的基尼系数也在不断攀升,文章以1978年至2010年的统计数据为基础,运用计量经济学中向量自回归模型的脉冲响应函数与方差分解方法,对湖北省义务教育支出、财政总支出与基尼系数之间的动态均衡关系进行了相关研究。分析表明湖北省义务教育支出与居民收入的基尼系数之间存在长期的正向关系,即与社会公平存在负向关系;财政总支出与基尼系数之间存在逆向关系,即与社会公平存在正向关系。

Since 1978 the compulsory education expenditure and fiscal expenditure absolute scale in Hubei province has been increasing and at the same time gini coefficient of inhabitants＇income of Hubie province has been rising too. The essay researches the dynamic balance relationship between compulsory education expenditure, fiscal expenditure and gini coefficient in Hubei province based on statistics from 1978 to 2010 using impulse response function and variance decomposition of vector autoregressive model in econometrics. The analysis shows that there exists long - term forward relationship between compulsory education expenditure and gini coefficient of inhabitants＇income in Hubei province, which means that there exists backward relation- ship between compulsory education expenditure and social equity in Hubei province; there exists backward relationship between fiscal expenditure and gini coefficient, which means there exists forward relationship between fiscal expenditure and social equity.