基于重力模型的中国航空网络航线连接驱动力分析

Analysis on driving force of Chinese airline network connecting based on gravity mode

航空网络的航线旅客流量,决定了机场间航线的连接.因此,引起OD流生成的经济社会因素就是航线连接的驱动力.依据重力模型的原理,先选择影响航线OD流量的机场城市经济社会因素,再通过灰色聚类方法,确定出了机场城市的第三产业产值、人均可支配收入和城镇人口是影响OD流量的根本因素;然后分别以这三个因子作为网络优先连接驱动因素,构建与中国实际航空网络规模相当的仿真网络,通过仿真网络和真实网络度值分布曲线对比,发现第三产业对航线连接驱动力最大,其次是人均可支配收入.

The flow of aviation network＇ s airline passenger, determines the connections of airport airline. The social factors of economic what lead to OD flow are the driving forces of connections of airline. This paper selected the social factors of economic what affect airline OD flow of airport city based on the principles of gravity model, and through the grey cluste- ring method, determined that urban per capita disposable income out of the airport, the town population and the city＇ s tertiary industry output were fundamental factors affecting OD flow; it took the three factors as priority network drivers connection individually, construct and practice simulation network what like China aviation network fairly, through the comparison of value distribution curve of simulation and real networks , and found what affect routes connecting most was the tertiary industry, the followed was the average per capita disposable income.