流动人口的生育意愿与生育行为差异研究

The Deviation of Fertility Willingness and Behaviors of Floating Population

文章利用中国人民大学人口与发展研究中心于2009年在北京朝阳区、广东东莞市和浙江诸暨市组织进行的流动人口调查数据,分析了流动人口的生育意愿与生育行为之间的关系。研究发现,流动人口中既存在生育意愿与生育行为悖离的一面又有一致的一面,在4个维度上均有所表现,在时间、间隔和性别上二者更多的表现为悖离,在数量上更多的表现为一致。研究还发现,年龄、初婚年龄、初育年龄、受教育程度、职业角色、已有孩子的性别结构等对生育意愿与生育行为的悖离有显著影响。

Using data collected by Center for Population and Development of Renmin University of China in 2009 at Chaoyang district of Beijing,Dongguan city of Guangdong province and Zhuji city of Zhejiang province,this paper analyzes the interaction between fertility willingness and behaviors.The findings show that there are both deviation and consistence between fertility willingness and behaviors of floating population.The deviation comes most in timing,interval,sex structure,while the consistency mainly show in the number of Children.Age,age at first marriage,age at first birth,education,vocation,sex structure of children can significantly affect the gap between fertility willingness and behaviors.