农产品价格上涨不会引起CPI上涨——基于投入产出价格模型

The Agricultural Product Price Escalation not Leading to the CPI Rising——Based on the Input-output Price Model

笔者以2007年投入产出表为基础,分析了农业与各部门的产业关联程度,测算了农、林、牧、渔业对CPI及各部门价格的波及效应。研究结果表明,农产品价格上涨不是造成CPI高涨的主要因素,而能源型和资源型生产部门价格上涨是影响CPI上涨的主要因素,也是推动农产品价格上涨的主要因素。

Based on the annual input-output table for 2007,this paper analyzes the correlation effects between agriculture and other industries by testing The price impact on CPI of various stctors.It is found that the rising of the agricultural product price is not the essential factor to push CPI high.The price escalation of natural resources sectors and energy comsuption sectors mainly account for the soaring impact for CPI and the agricultural product as well.