边界效应与长三角区域经济一体化问题研究

Boundary Effects and the Study of Yangtze River Delta Economic Integration

运用经济增长收敛性模型、Barro回归方程结合重力模型和Head与Mayer修正后的边界效应模型对1988年以来长三角区域经济一体化趋势和边界效应对长三角经济一体化的影响进行实证分析。研究表明:总体上看,长三角地区经济一体化趋势明显,边界效应在减小,趋同性在增加。进入21世纪,地方政府追求行政区域边界内的利益最大化,使得江苏与上海、浙江的边界屏蔽效应增大,长三角经济一体化进程任重道远。

This paper analyses the Yangtze River Delta economic integration trend since 1988 and the influence from boundary effect to the Yangtze River Delta economic integration.The article makes Empirical Analysis mainly through economic growth convergence model,Barro regression equation and boundary effect model that Head and Mayer have made some amendment,which shows,as a whole,the trend of the Yangtze River Delta economic integration trend is obvious,and have a decreasing boundary effects and an increasing convergence.But since the 21st century,the boundary shielding effects of Jiangsu,Shanghai and Zhejiang is becoming larger,because local governments always pursue the biggest benefits within administrative areas.So the way to Yangtze River Delta economic integration is still long.