农户柑橘种植意愿及影响因素实证分析——基于我国柑橘主产区152个农户的调查

Positive Analysis on Influencing Factors of Citrus Growers' Planting Intention to Plant Citrus——Based on the Survey Data from 152 Households in China's Citrus Main Production Region

以我国柑橘主产区152个农户的调查数据为依据,采用Logit模型对农户柑橘种植意愿进行了实证分析。研究表明,柑橘种植农户户主年龄、是否参加过技术培训、从事柑橘种植的年限、是否了解市场行情等因素对农户柑橘种植意愿有显著的影响。对橘农进行培训、提供及时的信息服务能有效提升农户柑橘种植意愿。

Based on the survey data from 152 households in China＇s citrus main production region, this paper uses Logit model to positively analyze the planting intention of citrus growers. The result shows that the growers＇age, technical training,the number of years in citrus cultivation, knowledge of price information have significant impact on citrus grower＇s intention to plant citrus. Therefore, in order to improve citrus grower＇s intention to plant citrus, the government should provide technical training and timely information for citrus growers.