神华大保当物流园区货类分析及货量预测

The Class of Goods Analysis and The Volume Forecast on Shen hua Da Bao Dang Logistics Park

物流园区的货类和货量是园区发展的基础,本文从园区业务市场入手,对园区的货类进行分析,确定出园区的主要货类,运用灰色理论模型对这些货种的货量进行预测,最后采用流量分配方法确定进出物流园区的铁路货运量。

The class and volume of goods is the basis for development of the logistics park, this paper starts from the park＇s business market, sets the prediction of cargo volume in the defined circle based on sphere layer theory, then analysis categories of cargo in the park to determine principal cargoes. Forecast volume of these goods with gray theory model, then using quantitative analysis to determine the transported goods volume by distribution of flow goods in and out the park.