论人民币汇率的长期走势

Long-term Trend in Exchange Rate of RMB

亚洲金融危机以来,人民币汇率的走势一直是国内外关注的焦点。人民币汇率将长期保持稳定。其根据是:良好的国际收支状况是人民币汇率稳定的直接原因;低水平的通货膨胀是人民币汇率长期稳定的根本原因;强劲持续的经济增长是人民币汇率稳定的物质基础;合理、有效。

How the trend of exchange rate of Renminbi would be has long been the focus that the people either in and out of our country have paid attention to since the financial crisis of Asia happened. However, the exchange rate of Renminbi will be kept stabilized for a long time, and the bases of which are: the benign condition of balance of payments as the efficient cause; the low level of inflation as fundamental cause; the continuing and striving economic increase as the material basis, the reasonable, effective and perfect administration system for foreign exchange as the systematic safeguard.