2011年中国石油和天然气进出口状况分析

Analysis of China' s oil & gas imports and exports in 2011

2011年,中国包括原油、成品油、液化石油气(LPG)和其他产品在内的石油净进口量为27286万吨,增长达7.6%。国内石油消费量在2010年大幅跃升12.7%之后,2011年增长5.5%,达到45625万吨。石油进口依存度由2010年的58.7%提高到59.8%。进口原油占加工量的比例由2010年的55.6%提高到56.4%。汽柴油出口减少和燃料油进口增多使成品油净进口量达到1481万吨,比2010年增长48.1%,达到2008年以来最高水平。柴油再次呈现净进口。在炼厂气供应增加和天然气消费猛增的冲击下,液化石油气净进口量继续下降1.8%,至224万吨。包括液化天然气和管道天然气在内的天然气进口量增幅高达89%。2012年,国内经济增长放缓可能使油品需求增长进一步减弱,加工量增加将使油品供应增长与需求保持同步,对进口原油的需求将继续上升。在进口量继续大幅上升的同时,国内天然气进口依存度将由2011年的21.2%升至28%左右。

In 2011 China' s net petroleum imports,including crude oil,refined oil,and liquefied petroleum gas(LPG) and other products,totaled 272.86 milliom tons,up 7.6%from 2010.Following a dramatic rise of 12.7%in 2010,domestic oil consumption increased by 5.5%in 2010 and reached 456.25 million tons.Oil import dependency increased from 58.7%in 2010 to 59.8%.The proportion of crude imports in oil processing volume increased from 55.6%in 2010 to 56.4%.Because of a decrease in gasoline & diesel exports and an increase in fuel oil imports,net import of refined oil amounted to 14.81 million tons,up 48.1%from 2010,the highest since 2008.China became a net importer of diesel again,of 410,000 tons.Impacted by an increase in LPG supply by refineries and a jump in natural gas consumption, net import of LPG continued to decrease,by 1.8%to 2.24 million tons.Increase in import of natural gas,including liquefied natural gas(LNG) and pipeline natural gas,was 89%.In 2012,as domestic economic growth slows,growth in oil product demand may slow,while an increase in processing capacity will enable oil product supply to keep pace with demand,resulting in a further rise in demand for crude oil imports.As the dramatic rise in imports continues,China' s dependency on natural gas imports will go up to about 28%from 21.2%in 2011.