城市形成与空间分布的经济学解释——以19世纪中国沿海城市为对象

Economic Analyze on Urban Emergence and Distribution:Seaport Cities in the 19th Century of China

本文在回溯中国沿海港口城市萌芽的基础上,在单中心分布均衡模型的框架内,通过考察农业和制造业、农产品和制造业产品生产和消费的相对关系,提出若以制造业集中作为判断城市形成的标准,则在特定的情况下,随着原中心内部企业不断外迁至新的外围中心,旧的模型均衡被打破,最终在外围中心附近形成新的城市。并以中国部分沿海港口城市为基础,模拟了上述假设,得到了适应性结论。

This paper investigated the interactional relationship between the agriculture and manufacture industry, the producing and consuming of agriculture products and manufactured goods in the framework of monocentric spatial equilibrium model by recalling the emergence of China＇s seaport cities. We can make such a hypothesis that regarding industrial agglomeration as the final criterion of the emergence of a city, in some conditions which the enterprises that located the hub continuously moving to the fringe, the equilibrium would be broken and a new city born. This paper made some simulation tests with the data of 19th century China＇ seaport cities and had a positive conclusion.