宁波国际贸易与海港城市发展互动关系研究

Study on Mutual Dynamic Relationship between International Trade and Port City Development of Ningbo

以宁波市1985年～2010年的相关数据为样本,利用VAR模型分析框架研究宁波市国际贸易与城市发展的互动关系,结果表明:宁波市国际贸易与城市发展之间存在着长期均衡的互动关系,其中城市发展对国际贸易具有相对微弱的促进作用,而国际贸易对城市发展有着相对显著的促进作用,宁波市政府应更加致力于提高对外贸易水平推进该市现代化国际港口建设。

Based on relevant data from 1985 to 2010 of Ningbo and by using VAIL model, this paper analyzes the mutual dynamic relationship between international trade and port city development of Ningbo. The result shows that long-run equilibrium exists between international trade and urban development in Ningbo city with urban development having relatively weak promotion effect on international trade and international trade having a significant promotion effect on urban development. Local Ningbo government is suggested to improve international trade to promote the construction of modern port city.