基于多元线性回归模型的中国人口老龄化影响因素研究

A Research Based on Multiple Linear Regression Model about the Influence Factors of the Aging Population in China

本文从对老龄化起决定作用的出生率和死亡率这两个方面出发,选取了5个间接影响因素指标,通过SPSS软件对数据进行整理分析,得出了我国人口老龄化的多元线性数学模型,模型具有较高的预测准确度,可以用来预测未来我国人口老龄化的发展趋势和指导相关部门作好应对人口老龄化的工作。

In this paper, we select five indirect influence factors from two aspects which play decisive roles of aging of population, including birth rate and death rate. We obtain a multiple linear regression model of aging population by analyzing the data with SPSS. The model has high prediction accuracy, it can be used to predict the development trend of Chinese aging population and guide relevant departments to prepare for the aging population.