中国刘易斯拐点和耕地红线的判断与三农治理新思维

Lewis Turning Point,Arable Land Judgement and Management of Agriculture New Thinking

刘易斯拐点的到来,导致传统劳动密集型农业生产模式的衰落,联产承包责任制的瓦解,粮食安全危机凸现;农地所有权的政府垄断也导致城市化成本过高,阻碍了农民的城市化,形成庞大的伪城市化人群,严重威胁到社会稳定。只有尽快改变以堵为目标的三农治理旧思维,充分利用耕地红线神话破产、刘易斯拐点到来的历史新机遇,进行深刻的农地制度改革,我们才能实现农地的规模化、产业化经营,降低农民的城市化成本,减少伪城市化人口,缓解国家粮食安全与社会稳定危机,实现城乡一体化的和谐发展。

The arrival of Lewis turning point in traditional labor-intensive agriculture mode of production decline, household contract responsibility system disintegrate, food security crisis highlights; farmland ownership government monopoly also leads to the city of high cost hinders the farmers, the city, forming a huge pseudo city of population, a serious threat to the social stability. Only change as soon as possible to block for the target management of agriculture of old thinking, make full use of arable land myth, Lewis turning point came bankrupt new historical opportunity, carries on the profound reform of farming land system, we can realize farmland scale, industrialization is managed, reduce farmer city changes cost, reduce the pseudo city population, alleviate the national food security crisis and crisis of social stability, realize the integration of urban and rural harmonious development.