中国经济改革模式:基于路径依赖理论的视角

The Economic Reform Pattern of China: Based on the Path Dependence Theory

路径依赖理论告诉我们:经济转型是个复杂的历史过程,这一过程存在路径依赖,初始的政策失误可能导致整个经济转型的失败。中国未来经济改革的指导原则是:中国应该根据自己的国情制定符合自身发展道路的制度;政府在没有认清决策产生的经济后果以前,应该充分收集信息,严格评估政策结果,防止经济改革被过早地锁定到错误的轨道上。

Path dependence theory tells us that economic transformation is a complicated historical process which exists the path dependence, the initial policy failures may lead to the failure of the whole economic transition. The guiding principle of Chinese future economy reform is that China should lay down the system of government development path according to the national condition; Not recognize the economic consequences of previously, government should collect information, strict evaluation policy result, and prevent economic reform to be prematurely the wrong track.