实际汇率对欧元区内出口贸易影响的实证分析

Demonstrative analysis of exchange rate's influence on Eurozone export trade

汇率是调节一国进出口贸易的重要工具,在欧元区由于使用统一的货币,这使得成员国无法通过改变汇率来调节本国的进出口贸易,而成员国的通货膨胀率的不同造成了欧元区各国的实际汇率并不相同,实证分析发现,实际汇率与区内出口贸易存在着明显的负相关,实际汇率每增加1%,区内出口就会减少2.39%。

Exchange rate is an important tool to regulate the import and export trade of a country,due to the unified currency in the euro area,it makes the member states can not adjust their import and export trade by changing the exchange rate,while the inflation rate is different which cause the real exchange rate different in the euro-zone countries,the empirical analysis indicates that there is a clear negative correlation between the real exchange rate and export trade in the region,the real exchange rate increase of 1%,the intra-regional exports will decrease by 2.39%.