中国产业碳排放增长的需求结构分析

Analysis of Demand Structure for Chinese Industrial CO_2 Emission Growth

文章运用投入产出分析法对中国产业二氧化碳排放增长的需求结构进行了探讨。研究发现:①最终需求各项CO2诱发效果显著的产业主要有8个部门;②部门单位最终需求的完全排放强度主要来自中间需求的影响;③最终需求各项的CO2排放诱发效果说明:当前我国的投资和出口需求是诱发CO2排放量的主要驱动因素;④解读各部门CO2排放对最终需求各项的依存度进一步说明当前我国CO2排放是投资出口依存型。

Being the largest developing economy, China has experienced a rapid economic growth resulting in rapid increase of ear-boa dioxide emission. In this paper, the demand structure for Chinese industrial CO2 mission growth is discussed through Input-Output Analysis. The results are as follows： 1） Industries showing significant CO2 emission inducement effect from the final demand mainly in-volves 8 sectors; 2） Impact on total direct and indirect emission intensity per unit of final demand for any sector mainly comes from the In-termediate Demand; 3） The CO2 emission inducement effect of the final demand indicates that current demands for investments and exports are the key driving factors inducing CO2 emission in China; 4） Through interpretation of CO2 emission dependence by sectors on the final demand further eplains that current CO2 emission in China is investment - dependent as well as export - dependent.