摘要
Examining China's population changes in the past three decades demonstrates that China's demographic transition has been successfully completed with a splendid and zigzag path.There are profound historical experiences and lessons.This paper reviews China's fertility transition which is divided into four periods and argues that fertility changes are a result of the interactions between socioeconomic development,fertility behaviors and fertility policies.Substantial resistance to the "one-childpolicy" during 1979 to 1984 resulted in rebounding and fluctuating fertility.The baby boom occurred in the period 1985 to 1991 was a manifestation of the inherent laws of demographic dynamics,and subsequently forceful birth control was again mobilized.The period from 1992 to 1999 witnessed large declines in fertility which penetrates the replacement zone,showing that China was completing the fertility transition.China's stabilizing low fertility and emerging population structural issues since 2000 call for comprehensive ways in addressing the population problems.
Abstract: Examining China's population changes in the past three decades demonstrates that China's demographic transition has been successfully completed with a splendid and zigzag path. There are profound historical experiences and lessons. This paper reviews China's fertility transition which is divided into four periods and argues that fertility changes are a result of the interactions between socioeconomic development, fertility behaviors and fertility policies. Substantial resistance to the "one-child- policy" during 1979 to 1984 resulted in rebounding and fluctuating fertility. The baby boom occurred in the period1985 to 1991 was a manifestation of the inherent laws of demographic dynamics, and subsequently forceful birth control was again mobilized.