沈阳工业发展与经济增长关系的协整分析

Co-integration analysis of relationship between industry development and economic growth in Shenyang city

运用协整理论对沈阳市工业发展与经济增长之间关系进行了实证检验,建立了误差修正模型,分析了沈阳市工业发展与经济增长之间的短期关系,并对两者之间的因果关系进行检验。结果表明:沈阳工业发展与经济增长之间长期存在稳定的关系,工业发展在短期内对全市经济增长具有较强的推动作用;工业发展与经济增长之间存在着显著的双向因果关系:工业发展可推动经济增长,经济的增长又进一步推动工业发展,从而形成一种良性的循环。

By using the co, integration theory, a detailed empirical analysis is carried out for the relationship between the industry development and economic growth in Shenyang. Based on above analysis, the error modification model is established to analyze the short-term relationship between them. The result shows that there is a stable relationship between the industry development and economic growth in Shenyang, and the industry economy has a strong pushing effect in a short term. There exists the interactive relationship between them, the development of industry will push the economic growth, and economic growth will also push the further development of industry.