临清坳陷上古生界排烃量估算

Evaluation Method of Rational Productivity of Su-5 Block

计算排烃量是油气资源评价不可缺少的工作。随着对油气生、排烃机理研究的不断深入，其计算方法在逐渐发展与完善，但也存在着较多的问题。以排烃门限理论为基础，基于蒙特卡罗法的原理来计算临清坳陷上古生界的排烃量。利用Crystal Ball模拟软件得到临清地区上古生界的排烃量取值范围在（120～440）×1O^8t的概率为50％，中值为365×1O^8t，平均值为460×1O^8t，其中煤成烃的排烃量占总排出烃量的80％。结合CrystalBall分析软件，提出了德州凹陷、莘县凹陷、邯郸凹陷、巨鹿凹陷为临清地区的有利勘探区块。

The oil and gas fields of reasonable productivity workers in most oil and gas field development concern, which is a measure of the implemenlation of development programs and the developmenl of the fundamental basis for developmcnt of adjustment programs. Reasonable capacity for a variety of evaluation methods, specific methods shonld be used which need to be oil and gas ileitis to its own characteristics. Su Sulige gas field for 5 blocks, this paper discusses four methods of rational evaluation of the applicability of production, and optimization of a kind of Soviet five blocks by the end of 2009 a reasonable capacity to assess the situation.