中非农产品产业内贸易及影响因素——基于2000～2010年中国与非洲25国面板数据的实证研究

An Empirical Analysis of the Intra-industry Trade of Agricultural Products between China and Africa and its Influencing Factors

文章运用G-L指数和GHM分类方法,通过对2000～2010年中国与非洲25国农产品产业内贸易指数的测算及影响因素的实证研究,结果表明:从各国来看,中国与非洲12国农产品产业内贸易趋势明显;而从农产品各章目来看,中非农产品贸易则以产业间贸易为主;同时,GHM分类方法显示中非农产品贸易呈现出明显的垂直型产业内贸易特征。此外,回归模型表明市场结构与中非农产品产业内贸易呈负相关关系,而人均收入差异、国家贸易政策则在一定程度上促进了中非农产品产业内贸易的发展。

This paper uses the Grubel-Lloyd index and the GHM method to calculate and analyze the intra-industry trade index of agricultural products and its influencing factors between China and Africa from 2000 to 2010. It concludes that the intra-industry trade between China and 12 African countries has risen quickly, and from the point of view of sections in agricultural products, the trade of agricultural products between China and Africa belongs to traditional inter-industry trade, representing the feature of vertical intra- industry trade. Besides, the regression analysis shows that the market structure has a negative effect on the intra-industry of agricultural products between China and Africa, but the differences of per capita incomes and trade policies have a positive effect on it.