中国产业层次对地区初次分配福利水平的提升效应——基于省级面板数据的实证分析

THE PROMOTION EFFECT OF INDUSTRIAL LEVEL ON REGIONAL INITIAL DISTRIBUTION WELFARE IN CHINA ——An Empirical Analysis Based on the Provincial Panel Data

本文利用1993—2009年的省级面板数据,构建地区初次分配福利系数和产业层次系数,通过实证方法研究产业层次对地区初次分配福利水平的影响。研究表明,产业层次与地区初次分配福利水平正相关,产业层次越高,初次分配福利水平越高,产业层次对初次分配福利水平具有提升作用。产业层次系数增长率与地区初次分配福利系数增长率呈现先降后升的U型规律。这种U型变化具有经济发展的阶段性特点和区域性特点。产业层次的进一步提升对西部和中部福利水平的改进更明显,现代服务业产值结构提升的福利效应将在东部和东北地区体现得更明显。

With the provincial panel data during 1993--2009, this paper studied the effect of industrial level on the regional initial distribution welfare, through constructing regional welfare and industrial level coefficients. Empirical results showed that the industry level was correlated positively with the regional welfare coefficient. An industry at a higher level accompanied with a higher level of industry welfare. In- dustrial level had the promotion effect on regional initial distribution welfare. The growth rates of industri- al level and regional welfare coefficients followed a U-shaped curve, which represented the periodic charac- teristics of regional economic development. The further promotion of the industrial level would improve the initial distribution welfare level significantly in the western and central region. The welfare effect of the modern service industry structure would be significant in the eastern and northeastern region.