江苏旅游“资源诅咒”现象实证研究

Empirical Analysis on the Phenomenon of Tourism "Resource Curse" in Jiangsu Province

文章以江苏省13个市的相关统计数据为基础,运用标准差、哈盖特(P.Haggett)区位熵、聚类分析等分析方法,构建旅游资源禀赋指数、旅游总收入指数、旅游经济增长率指数,对江苏省旅游资源禀赋与旅游经济发展的空间耦合度进行分析,验证江苏省旅游"资源诅咒"现象存在的客观性。结果表明,江苏旅游资源禀赋与旅游总收入之间不仅存在着空间的同步性,也存在着空间错位性,旅游资源优势区与旅游资源中等区、劣势区相比,旅游经济增长速度明显不足,江苏省旅游业发展亟待转型升级,尤其是旅游资源丰富的地区需要进一步深化改革,促进产业要素的全面、协调发展。

Based on relevant statistical data of thirteen cities in Jiangsu Province, this paper analyzes the development of tourism economy, tourism resources endowment, and their spatial coupling relationship in Jiangsu, using standard deviation, location entropy （Haggett）, clusting analysis and building some indicators such as tourism resources endowment indicator, total tourism income index, indicator of the tourism economy increasing rate, to test and verify the existence of ＂Resources Curse ＂ . According to the analysis, there exists not only the spatial synchronicity, but also the spatial mismatch in Jiangsu Province for tourism development. Besides, compared with the districts with tourism resource on middle and low level, the increasing rate of the tourism economy in the districts with abundant tourism resources is apparently inadequate. As a result, the transition and promotion of the tourism industry in the districts with abundant tourism resources in Jiangsu is in urgent and need further deepen reform to promote the industrial elements for comprehensive and coordinated development.