山西省人均GDP的发展态势——基于时间序列、最小二乘回归、分位数回归方法

The Development of Per Capita GDP in Shanxi Province

以山西省1980年到2010的人均GDP的资料为依据,利用时间序列分析中的ARMA模型、普通最小二乘回归OLS以及分位数回归模型对山西省人均GDP进行分析研究,以揭示山西省人均GDP增长变化的规律,从而为山西省制定相应的宏观调控政策提供依据。

Research on per capita GDP in Shanxi province are analyzed and studied based on the datas of Shanxi province per capita GDP from 1980 to 2010.ARMA model,ordinary least squares regression OLS and quantile regression model are used in order to reveal the change laws of per capita,which benefits relevant departments making corresponding policy of macro-control.