中国农业生产能源消费影响因素的实证分析——基于固定效应模型

Empirical Study on Influential Factors of Energy Consumption for Agricultural Production in China:Based on Fixed-effect Model

利用2000—2008年中国30个省(自治区、直辖市)农业生产能源消费的面板数据,采用固定效应模型,实证分析了农业生产能源消费的影响因素。研究结果显示:农业经济增长、农业从业人数、机械化水平及过去消费习惯与农业生产能源消费正相关;能源价格与农业生产能源消费负相关;农业固定资产投资在短期内对农业生产能源消费的影响有限。当前节约农业生产能源消费应从改革能源价格机制、更新改造农机和改变不合理的生产方式等方面入手。

Using the panel data about energy consumption of 30 provinces in China from 2000 to 2008,this paper empirically analyses the influ- ential factors of energy consumption for agricultural production by the fixed-effect model. The results show as follows., agriculture economic growth,agricultural labor,mechanization level and consumption habit in the past have positive effects on energy consumption for agricultural production ; there is a negative relationship between energy price and energy consumption for agricultural productions agricultural fixed assets in- vestment has limited influences on energy consumption in a short time. Nowadays,in order to saving energy consumption for agricultural pro- duction,energy price mechanism should be reformed, and the agricultural machinery should he updated, and the unreasonable production mode should he changed.