高铁客运专线对公路客运的影响研究

A Study of the Impact from High-speed Railway on Highway Passenger Transport

从新昌服务区、台州服务区和宁波、温州等车站出行者的出行意愿、职业、收入及公路客运交通量和满载率、出行时间等方面,研究高铁对公路客运产生的影响。结果表明,由于高铁舒适、方便、速度快,超过60%公路出行者愿意选择高铁出行,而换乘不便、购票难、高铁班次少成为出行者不选择高铁出行的原因;高铁开通对公路客运总量没有什么影响,但使公路客运的满载率严重下降;高铁出行可以节约出行成本,使其在长距离出行占有一定市场,而短途出行,由于需要绕行等原因,不具有优势。

This paper studies the impact of high-speed rail on the highway passenger transport with the research of travel wish, career, income, and of highway traffics and load factor, and of travel time of passengers who start from Xinchang Highway Service Zone, Taizhou Highway Service Zone, Ningbo Bus Station, Wenzhou Bus Station and so on. It concludes that more than 60% highway passengers are ready to travel by high-speed railway for its comfortableness, facility and speed, but some passengers do not want to travel by high-speed railway for its difficulty of booking ticket, transfer, and its long time sequence; The gross of high- way passenger transport are rarely influenced by the high-speed railway ,but highway full-load rate sharply reduced;It costs less by the high-speed railway than by highway, which makes railway occupy a certain market as for the long-distance journey, on the contrary,it is of less advantage as for the short-distance journey for the sake of bvoassing.