摘要
我国是钢铁生产大国、贸易大国,同时面临着高投入、高排放等诸多问题。"十一五"期间,国家采取了调整出口退税率等措施来限制"两高一资"产品的出口。回顾我国钢铁行业1994年以来出口退税率的调整变化,运用计量经济学模型,采用月度数据分析2004年—2010年出口退税率的调整对我国钢铁行业出口的影响。研究显示,出口退税率的调整对我国钢铁出口量存在微小的长期正向影响,短期作用效果不显著;国外需求因素对钢铁出口的刺激作用最突出,无论在长期或短期影响都非常显著;汇率、价格因素对钢铁出口的刺激作用其次,只存在长期均衡关系。
China is a big steel manufacturer and trading country in the world, and at the same time, is confronted with lots of problems, like high investment, high emission and so on. During Eleventh Five-Year period, the export rebate policy was used by the government, to restrict the export of heavy energy consumption, heavy pollution and resource-related products. Based on reviewing the adjustment process of the export rebate rate on China＇s steel industry since 1994, this study evaluates the effect of adjusting export rebate rate on China＇s steel export, by using an econometrics model and monthly data from 2004 to 2010. The results show that there is a long-term and slightly positive relation between the export rebate rate and steel export in China, but the short-term effect of it is statistically insignificant; and the foreign demand factor, which is statistically significant in both long-term and short-term effect, is the biggest positive stimulus on steel export; and the ex- change rate factor and price factor, which only have long-term effect, are the second.
出处
《阅江学刊》
2012年第3期54-60,共7页
Yuejiang Academic Journal
基金
中国人民大学科学研究基金(中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金)"气候变化意识在企业低碳战略转型中的作用机理研究"(11XNI017)
关键词
出口退税率
钢铁出口
影响
export rebate rate
steel
export
effect
