中亚地区地震损失评估

EARTHQUAKE LOSS ASSESSMENT IN CENTRAL ASIA

采用了基于宏观经济指标—— GDP(国内生产总值 )的地震损失预测方法对中亚地区地震损失作出评估。利用易得、合理可行的人口和 GDP分布资料得到了中亚地区未来 50年地震损失分布图。分析表明 :中亚部分地区期望的震灾程度远远高于全球的平均震灾程度 ,是受地震灾害影响较为严重的地区之一。

In the paper the earthquake loss in Central Asia is estimated by using seismic loss prediction method based on macroseismic indicator——GDP(Gross Domestic Product).The earthquake loss distribution map of Central Asia in the forthcoming 50 years is compiled according to rational data of population and GDP distributions.The Analysis shows that expected earthquake hazard level in Central Asia is far higher than global average,and Central Asia is one of the areas that are affected by earthquake disasters more seriously.