摘要
采用单位根检验、协整检验和Granger因果检验等时间序列分析方法 ,对1978~2009年的新疆综合交通运输业和经济增长数据进行了实证研究,分析二者之间短期和长期的关系,得出新疆经济增长是促进当地综合交通发展的原因,并据此提出相关建议。
Based on the data from 1978 to 2009 in Xinjiang province, by selecting variables of transportation and GDP, this paper analyzes the correlativity and long-term and short-term effects of transportation and GDP through a series of methods, such as test of significance, ADF, co-integration test and Granger causality test. The research proves that there are strong positive correlations between transportation and economic growth, and economic growth can promote transportation development to a certain extent.
出处
《交通与运输》
2012年第H07期28-30,共3页
Traffic & Transportation
关键词
运输业
区域经济
协整
Carrying trade
Regional economic
Co-integration