产业国际竞争力和产业内贸易的实证分析——基于2005年—2010年中国纺织服装产业的数据

An Empirical Analysis of the Intra-industry Trade and the International Trade Competitiveness on China's Textile and Apparel Industries in Post-Quota Era

基于2005年—2010年《中国海关进出口数据》和WTO的贸易统计数据,测算了中国纺织服装业产业国际竞争力和产业内贸易水平,结果发现:虽然中国纺织服装产业国际竞争力不断增强,但产业内贸易发展缓慢且总体水平较低,仍以产业间贸易为主。纺织服装各子产品产业内贸易水平和产业竞争力高低不一,具体分为四种情况:纺织品产业内贸易水平和国际竞争力水平相对较高;纺织原料产品竞争力弱,产业内贸易程度相对较高;服装类产品比较优势稳定且显著,但产业内贸易水平较低;纺织机械产品处于比较弱势,产业内贸易水平也较低,但呈上升趋势。据此提出发展中国纺织服装产业内贸易的若干政策建议。

Based on the data of China Customs Import and Export and WTO Trade Statistics （2005 -2010） of China textile and apparel （T＆A） industries, this paper makes an empirical analysis on the situation of China＇s T＆A intra-industry trade and competitiveness. Results indicate that the development level of intra-industry trade is very low although its competitiveness has enhanced, the trade style in China＇s T＆A industries is mainly inter-industry trade.Also, on the product level, the level of intra-industry trade is different, for textile industry, both intra-industry trade and competitiveness are advanced; for the crude raw material, the competitiveness is week and the intra-industry trade is advanced; for the apparel industry, products are advanced but the level of intra-industry trade is low; for the textile machinery industry, both products and trade are in low level. Finally some competitiveness-fostering suggestions are proposed for the development of China＇s T＆A intra-industry trade.