全球失衡下中国参与全球经济治理研究:基于SWOT分析框架

China's Participation in Global Economic Governance under Global Financial Imbalance:A SWOT Analysis

目前全球经济失衡问题日益严重,主要发达经济体陷入经济困境,财政政策空间缩小,常规经济政策失效。各种经济保护主义政策,如贸易保护、汇率干预、资本流动管制等在世界范围内蔓延。全球经济治理的关键是重组全球产业分工和贸易金融体系,但是由于中国长期存在巨额贸易顺差和外汇储备,因此解决中国的双顺差现象被发达国家视为全球经济治理的核心议题之一,而中国参与全球经济治理的能力亟需提升。本文尝试运用SWOT战略分析框架,对中国参与全球经济治理展开实证分析,分析中国的比较优势、劣势、机遇、威胁以及核心竞争力,进而为中国参与全球经济治理提供决策依据和理论支持,实现国家利益和战略意图。

Current global economic imbalance becomes increasingly severe, with major developed economies struggling with financial difficulties, a narrowed fiscal space, and the invalidity of conventional economic policies. Various economic protectionist policies, such as trade protection, exchange rate intervention, and capital flows control, are spreading around the globe. The key of global economic governance lies in the restructuring of the global labor division as well as the trade and finance system. Yet a major aspect of global economic governance, viewed by developed countries, is to address China＇s trade surplus as the country has had a huge trade surplus and foreign exchange reserves, while in this process China shows an urgent need to enhance her ability to participate in global economic governance. This paper attempts to use the SWOT strategic analysis framework to expand the empirical study of China＇s participation in global economic governance, elucidating on her comparative advantages, weaknesses, opportunities and risks along with the core competitiveness, trying to provide the basis of decision-making and theoretical support for China＇s efforts in this regard.