一类能引起温州鳌江站风暴潮持续增水的台风路径分析与预报

Analysis and forecast of typhoon track on causing the continuous storm surge at the Aojiang station in Wenzhou

温州沿海地区是风暴潮灾害的多发区,本文通过统计2000—2010年10年间在120°—121°E范围内活动的台风资料,对一类能引起温州市鳌江潮位站显著持续增水的北上型台风和风暴潮资料进行特征分析和预报探讨,为鳌江站今后预报此类台风风暴潮提供一定的依据。

The coastal region of Wenzhou is frequently struck by storm surges.Based on the statistical data of typhoon originated in the area of 120°—121°E during the period from 2000 to 2010,the northward typhoon and the consequence storm surge causing continuous and remarkable surge at Aojiang tidal Station in Wenzhou City are studies,and their predictabilities are discussed.This work can provide some references for the forecast of this type typhoon and the storm surge at Aojiang Station.