控球次数、控球质量和命中率对水球决赛胜负的影响

Influence of Possession Numbers and Possession Quality and Shooting Percentage on 14th Fina World Championships Men's Water Polo Gold Medal Match

以第14届世界游泳锦标赛水球决赛为研究对象,运用相关分析方法,从常规赛、加时赛、全场比赛3个不同的时间角度,分析控球次数、控球质量、命中率3个因素对这场比赛得分的影响。研究表明:控球次数、控球质量对塞尔维亚队的常规赛、加时赛、全场比赛得分没有影响,命中率对塞尔维亚队的常规赛、加时赛、全场比赛得分有重要影响;控球次数、控球质量对意大利队的常规赛、全场比赛得分没有影响,但对意大利队加时赛得得分有非常重要影响,命中率对意大利队的常规赛、加时赛、全场比赛得分有重要影响。建议在我国水球训练中,强调命中率的重要性,并加强射门训练环节,以提高在比赛当中的命中率,从而争取更多的胜利。

By using correlation method, this paper stand three degrees of regular time, extra time, full time for analysis influence with numbers of possession, quality of possession, shooting percentage to scores on 14th Fina World Championships water polo final game. Result shows that： Numbers of possession, quality of possession have no influence on scores within regular time, extra time and full time by Serbia, but shooting percentage have important influence on scores within regular time, extra time and full time by Serbia; numbers of possession, quality of possession have no influence on scores within regular time and full time by Italy, but have very important influence on scores within extra time, shootin8 percentage have important influence on scores within regular time, extra time and full time by Italy. Suggest China team emphasis the importance of shot successful rate in the training, to enhance the shot training, raise the shot successful rate, thus win more games.