基于引力模型对我国纺织服装产品出口影响因素的实证研究

The Empirical Study on Influencing Factors of China's Textiles and Garments Exports Based on Gravity Model

自1995年以来,我国已经成为世界上最大的纺织品服装生产国和出口国。近年来,绿色贸易壁垒兴起、国际市场需求疲软、汇率变动和出口退税率的调整,这些都对我国纺织品服装出口造成了一定的影响。该文基于引力模型,实证了这些因素的影响程度,为我国纺织服装产品出口发展提供政策依据:我国应尽快完善现有的绿色标准,引导纺织服装企业绿色生产,绿色出口;激励纺织服装企业提高质量意识、创新意识和品牌意识,实现自我内部升级;实现出口市场多元化、开拓内需市场,实现内外统一发展。

Since 1995, China has been the world＇s largest producers and exporters of both textiles and garments. In recent years, the export of China^s textile and garment is considerably affected by the gradual rise of the green trade barriers, the weakness in the international textile market demand, the change in exchange rates and the adjustment of export rebate tax. The article analyzes the impact of these factors on the export of China^s textiles and garments in order to provide empirical evidence based on empirical gravity model. It is suggested that China should perfect the present green standards as soon as possible so as to lead textile and garment industry on the road of green production and green exports. We should motivate garment enterprises to enhance their quality consciousness, innovative consciousness and brand consciousness, realizing their interior upgrade. Besides, we also should realize diversified ex- port markets, developing domestic market, making real the goal of internal and external collaborative development.