入世之际俄罗斯经济现代化展望

Outlook of Russia's Economic Modernization in the Moment of WTO Accession

俄罗斯经济现代化的实质是实现经济发展模式从资源依赖型向创新型经济的转变。这种模式试图将技术进步和制度创新持续地纳入经济增长模型,以推动经济体获得有质量的增长。根据发展经济学和制度经济学的理论,经济发展和创新之间具有较强的互动作用。对于俄罗斯这样一个在经济转型过程中遭受重创的国家,其国家行为,尤其是制度供给对于创新型经济的发展更是具有举足轻重的作用。从俄罗斯当前的经济形势和国家行为的视角出发,可以勾勒出俄罗斯经济现代化的发展趋势。2011～2012年,既是俄罗斯加入世贸组织之际,也是梅普"权力交接"时期。俄罗斯经济现代化选择这样一个特殊而重要的时期对进行分析和展望将具有较好的代表性和现实意义。

In essence, Russia＇s economic modernization is committed to realize the transition from the resource dependent economic pattern to the economic pattern in which the technological progress and innovative institution will be continuously brought into the economic develop- .uodel so as to promote a qualified economic growth. According to the theory of development economies and institutional economics, economic development and innovation interact strongly. For such a country as Russia, which was badly destroyed in the process of economic transition, the government, especially the system provision from government is extraordinarily crucial for Russia＇s innovative economic development. So, we can outline the development trend of Russia~ economic modernization from the perspective of current economic situation and the act of state. 2011 to 2012 is a crucial period for Russia, not only for the accession to WTO, but also for the power transition from Medvedev to Putin. Choosing such a special and important period to analyze and forecast Russia＇s economic modernization would be more representative and practical siglaificant.