初探劳动力转移背景下的农村人口空心化

On the Rural Population Hollow Under the Background of Labor Transfer

依据人口学、经济学基本理论,对1985—2009年间我国农村劳动力转移状况进行描述性分析,并建立线性回归模型剖析农村劳动力向城镇或非农产业转移的动因及其对形成农村人口空心化的作用,在此基础上,又通过分析农村人口年龄结构的变化来证实农村人口空心化现象并简述其后果,以期这一现象得到更多关注。

According to the theories of demology and economics,a descriptive analysis is made of China＇s rural labor transfer from 1985 to 2009.And regression model is established to analyze the cause of the rural labor＇s flowing to cities and towns or non-agricultural industries,and its effect on the rural population hollow as well.Then the hollow is expounded by studying the change of the rural population age structure,together with the hollow＇s impact and aftermaths,so that more attention is to be paid to the phenomenon.