能源消费结构变化影响因素实证分析

Influence Factors on the Change of Energy Consumption Structure

分别利用2002和2007年投入产出表数据,采用SDA技术对影响能源消费结构变化的因素进行分析,结果表明:在2002—2007这5年间我国能源消费总量的增长主要来源于消费需求、投资和出口的增长,而技术进步、需求结构的变化由于叠加效率导致其对能源总量消费影响不大。

This paper analyzed the changes experienced by the industry energy consumption based on 2002 and 2007 input-output table data by the structural decomposition technology. The results showed that of the total growth in energy consumption, accounted for consumption growth, capital investment growth, and the product export growth. Meanwhile products import growth dropped, and other aspects reduced energy consumption. If all factors that help reduce energy consumption are combined. Technological progress and improved energy efficiency together have decreased energy consumption.